Lancashire Combined Fire Authority

Audit Committee

Meeting to be held on 8 July 2024

 

Accounting Estimates 2023/24

 

Contact for further information:

Steven Brown - Director of Corporate Services – Telephone Number 01772 826804

 

 

Executive Summary

 

The introduction of ISA 540 means that Audit Committee need to fully understand the judgements and estimates made by management in the course of producing the Statement of Accounts.

 

The estimates as reported are included in the unaudited statement of accounts balances.

 

Recommendation

 

The Committee is asked to note and endorse the accounting estimates as reported.

 

 

Background

 

International Standard on Auditing (ISA) 540: Auditing Accounting Estimates and Related Disclosures, was revised in December 2018 by the International Auditing and Assurance Standards Board (IAASB), an independent standard-setting body that serves the public interest by setting high-quality international standards for auditing, quality control, and review.

 

The auditing standard was revised because Statement of Accounts are increasingly subject to judgements and estimations performed by management and experts on a range of items within them, as required by current accounting standards. These changes require that auditors should understand and evaluate: “the nature and extent of oversight and governance that the entity has in place over management’s financial reporting process relevant to the accounting estimates.”

 

Requirements

 

Those Charged with Governance, i.e. Audit Committee need to understand what significant estimates will be included within the Statement of Accounts. Significant estimates are those that:

 

The Statement of Accounts contains estimated figures that are based on assumptions about the future or that are otherwise uncertain. Estimates are made considering past and current trends and/or other relevant factors. However, because balances cannot be determined with certainty, actual results could be materially different from the assumptions and estimates.

 

The Statement of Accounts are prepared in line with the most recent Code of Practice on Local Authority Accounting in the United Kingdom (known as the Code), published by CIPFA.

 

Significant underlying Assumption for 2023/24

 

The Statement of Accounts are prepared with the underlying significant assumption of Going Concern, which means that the Authority considers its’ financial position to be stable for the foreseeable future, as assessed at the most recent budget setting meeting in February 2024. 

 

Accounting standards require that management make an annual assessment of going concern, although the Code recognises that Local Authorities cannot be created or dissolved without statutory prescription, the accounts must therefore be prepared on a Going Concern basis. Management have prepared the assessment in line with requirements.

 

Significant Accounting Estimates for 2023/24

 

Nature of the estimate

Estimate value; degree of uncertainty; methodology

Valuation of land & buildings

 

 

 

2023/24 carrying value £127m (2022/23: £126m)

 

The valuation method applied to Lancashire Fire and Rescue (LFRS) assets is prescribed by the Code, these have not changed since the last financial year. Most of the Property assets are valued under Depreciated Replacement Cost (DRC) as specialised assets. DRC is used as a valuation method when there are no recent market transactions due to the specialised nature of the asset (i.e. a Fire Station) to base a valuation on. DRC calculates the cost (at today’s prices) of building the asset as it is currently used, then reduce by the valuer’s assessment of the accumulated depreciation. 

 

Land and buildings are valued by a RICS qualified valuer (employed by Amcat Ltd) on a rolling 5-year basis for physical inspections, or upon completion of significant building works, with the remaining assets updated by desktop valuation using the Royal Institute of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) indices.

 

The uncertainty in terms of the market evidence used to form opinions of value, continues. Shortly after the global pandemic, the war in Ukraine and resultant energy crisis has impacted on materials cost coupled with the void in the market for tradesmen because of Brexit, that has led to slippages in most construction targets.

 

Management reviews the underlying assumptions prior to valuation, and review material changes to values and challenged the results with the valuers. To gain understanding of their valuation.

 

The property valuation gains for 2023/24 was £5.4m (2022/23: £22.3m).

 

It is estimated that a 1% increase in DRC values will increase asset values by £1.3m (2022/23: £1.3m).

 

Property assets are also considered by the valuer for impairment each year, in terms of the condition of the asset, local property market conditions, current pricing of materials/labour (the basis for DRC valuations). The property impairment for 2023/24 was £4.4m (2022/23 £0.5m)

 

Depreciation of Property & Equipment

 

 

2023/24 carrying value £127m (2022/23: £126m)

 

Assets are depreciated over the useful lives, dependent on assumptions about the level of repairs and maintenance that will be incurred in relation to individual assets. 

 

Useful lives are determined by the RICS valuer for Property assets, and by Fleet Services department for vehicles and equipment. Asset life changes are compared to the previous year by management to check for reasonableness. There have not been any significant changes in asset lives since last year. Property asset lives are assessed on physical inspection in 10-year bands up to a maximum of 50 years. Vehicle asset lives depend upon the vehicle type, usually between 4 and 15 years.

 

Note - the useful life is used to account for the ‘using up’ of the asset, at point of asset disposal all our assets are still in saleable working order, for example a 12-year-old pumping appliance will reach £3k sale proceeds.

 

If the useful life of assets is reduced, depreciation increases and the carrying value of the asset falls. 

 

The depreciation charge for 2023/24 is £5.6m (2022/23: £5.6m). The estimated annual depreciation charge for property would increase by £0.4m for every year that asset lives are reduced.

 

Valuation of both FF and LGPS pension liability

 

 

2023/24 net liability carrying value £628m (2022/23: £632m)

 

The schemes liabilities, calculated by qualified actuaries (Mercers for LGPS, and Government Actuary Department (GAD) for FF schemes) using detailed membership data at a point in time, adjusted for changes since the last full review. These calculations are based on complex judgements relating to the discount rates used, the projected increased rates of salaries and pensions, mortality rate assumptions, and expected returns on pension fund assets (for LGPS only). These assumptions, proposed by the actuaries as experts in their field, disclosed to management in advance of the year end valuations calculations, giving the opportunity for scrutiny and challenge.

 

These assumptions and the subsequent movement in the liabilities, reviewed by management to check for reasonableness, with any queries referred to the actuaries for resolution.

 

It is estimated that, for both pension schemes combined, a 0.5% increase in the discount rate would decrease the liability by £48m (2022/23: £47m), a 1% increase in pay growth would increase the liability by £13m (2022/23: £13m). In addition, a 1-year increase in the assumed life expectancy would increase the liability by £17m (2022/23: £17m). 

 

The above rates are updated by the actuaries each year, which in turn affects the overall liability calculated. 

 

Valuation of LGPS pension asset

 

 

2023/24 LGPS asset carrying value £84.1m (2022/23: £78.4m)

 

The LGPS scheme assets attributable to the Authority are calculated by Mercers (with the Authority’s 25% share in North West Fire Control calculated by Hymans Robertson LLP). The assets are valued using the value of assets as assessed at the last full valuation, taking account of any changes since then. The asset value is re-based at each full valuation. 

 

The Authority is attributed a proportionate share of the assets of the Lancashire County Pension fund, in line with all organisations participating in the scheme.  Both the direct and indirect property assets held by the pension fund carry a risk of over/understating for the accounts, both in terms of the proportion attributed to the Authority, and the impact of market volatility seen during the global pandemic, although the actuaries consider this to have reduced since the last year end.

 

The assumptions made, and the subsequent movement in the assets are reviewed by management to check for reasonableness, with any queries referred to the actuaries for resolution.

 

Fair value measurements – PFI schemes

 

 

2023/24 PFI liability carrying value £11.9m (2022/23: £12.3m); 2023/24 PFI liability fair value £13.7m (2022/23: £13.5m)

 

The liability initial carrying value is calculated from the present value of the future payments due and grant received for the life of the PFI scheme. This carrying value is then updated each year to reflect any inflationary increases and any repayments made. The fair value is calculated using the forecast payments and grant income for the remaining life of the scheme and applying a discount rate (we use the current AA rated bond yield rate forecast) to arrive at the fair value. The Fair Value is the estimated price at which the Authority would transfer the liability to another body.

 

As the fair value of the Authority’s two PFI schemes cannot be measured based on quoted prices in active markets, their fair value is calculated using the Discounted Cash Flow method, which uses forecast future annual net cash flows to estimate the current value. 

 

To calculate the fair value, forecast bond yield rates are provided to us by LCC Treasury management section, who receive them from their Treasury Management advisors, Arlingclose.

 

The bond yield rate forecasts have increased since last year end, reflecting the increase in expected future Bank of England base rate forecasts. The reduction in the fair value of the liability, is a product of both the underlying reduction in the liability because of repayments made during the year, and the increase in the future interest rates.

 

Holiday pay expenditure accrual

2023/24 expenditure accrual £1m (2022/23: £1m)

 

Each year end the Authority is required to calculate the balance owed to employees in relation to untaken annual leave, time owing and flexitime.

 

Various systems and records are used to determine the underlying data, such as the payroll system for annual leave and support staff flexitime, and the on-call availability system. The relevant balances (by employee) then have the relevant payment rate applied to arrive at the accrual for the whole organisation.

 

Note this balance is not expected to result in any cash payments to employees – it is simply recognising the cash value of outstanding balances at a point in time, in accordance with accounting rules.

 

 

In addition to the above, each year Executive Board are asked to consider whether there are any transactions, events, or conditions (or changes in these) that might trigger the recognition of an additional significant accounting estimate, or the potential recognition, known as a contingent liability.

 

Based on the returns received back from Executive Board, the contingent liabilities note has been updated to reflect the current position, but there were no further significant events or transactions identified by this process.

 

Financial Implications

 

As outlined in the report

 

Legal Implications

 

None

 

Business Risk Implications

 

If external audit does not consider that we have properly considered our estimates and significant judgements, we could be subject to a qualified audit opinion.

 

Environmental Impact

 

None

 

Equality and Diversity Implications

 

None

 

Human Resource Implications

 

None

 

Local Government (Access to Information) Act 1985

 

List of background papers

N/a